Daily Investment Update

Market commentary

European stocks initially rose but later declined on Wednesday, as cautious market sentiment and ongoing worries about economic growth in Europe were reinforced by a blend of varied corporate earnings. The STOXX 50 Index fell by 0.40% to 4 990, while the broader pan-European STOXX 600 ended the day 0.50% down at 505. Trading Economics added that: “Kering led the losses among the currency bloc’s blue chips with a near 7% plunge, after warning investors that weakness for discretionary spending in its key Asian markets is likely to hamper its operating profit this year, led by the bearish outlook in its flagship brand, Gucci. Insurers also booked losses with Allianz and AXA both dropping close to 2%, while the Deutsche Boerse slid 4% following its earnings release to cap off a poor session for financials.”

US stocks struggled to gain momentum on Wednesday due to worries among investors regarding the future direction of interest rates, despite positive corporate earnings announcements. The S&P 500 saw little change, the Nasdaq slightly increased by 0.10%, while the Dow Jones dipped 0.10%. Meanwhile, long-term Treasury yields surged ahead of an upcoming rise in government debt issuance, leading to stricter financial conditions and diminishing demand for more volatile equities, according to Trading Economics.

Most Asian equity markets advanced on Wednesday as upbeat quarterly reports boosted market sentiment. However, despite the global rally also driven by reduced tensions in the Middle East, Chinese stocks struggled to gain momentum as investors sought indications of additional policy support. There's anticipation in the market for further easing measures from Chinese authorities this year, but the depreciation of the yuan restricted the potential for interest rate reductions.

The FTSE/JSE All Share Index advanced for the fifth consecutive session on Wednesday, closing at 74 514 points. Market sentiment continued to be driven by optimism surrounding the earnings season, with market participants anticipating key economic data releases from the US for insights into the future path of interest rates.

In commodities, Brent crude was 0.54% weaker at $88.02 a barrel at 19h00. Official figures revealed a surprising drop of 6.37 million barrels in US crude inventories last week, contrary to predictions of a 1.6 million barrel increase. Moreover, concerns regarding supply diminished as tensions in the Middle East continued to calm, with both Iran and Israel indicating no intention of further military actions against each other. Additionally, oil tankers, which had previously been delayed due to disruptions in the Red Sea, resumed their deliveries, alleviating pressure in international markets and enabling economies to replenish their inventories. Gold was little changed at $2 323.42/oz at 19h30, while platinum lost 0.73% to trade at $914.3/oz.

Navigation

ALBI (R) 940.36 0.36 Brent Oil ($) 83.88 0.25 Gold ($) 2307.22 0.15 Platinum ($) 958.28 0.37 Rand/EUR 19.91 0.00 Rand/GBP 23.28 0.01 Rand/USD 18.55 0.14

Market indicators

select a tab to navigate

Date Index Current Level 1 Day Move 1 Month Move 6 Month Move 1 Year Move
2024-05-03 ALSI 76046.85 -0.04 3.08 8.68 2.00
2024-05-03 Basic minerals 43964.96 -1.45 2.81 11.26 -7.50
2024-05-03 Fin + Ind 30 9903.90 0.37 3.13 8.63 6.78
2024-05-03 Financial 40701.25 -0.01 3.85 3.52 12.51
2024-05-03 Industrial index 112561.48 0.64 2.94 10.91 3.44

Some data may be delayed, the above table reflects the latest information available from Morningstar.

Please note performance reported during the first week of each month may be impacted by distributions. Distributions are fully accounted for by the second week of each month.

Collective investment schemes

ASISA categoryFund nameNAV (Rands)
at 03 May 2024
Performance –As at 2024/04/30
1 year %3 year %5 year %Inception %
South Africa - Equity - General PSG Equity Fund Class A 16.37 5.75 16.54 9.96 12.82
PSG Equity Fund Class E 16.36 4.60 15.91 9.98 8.86
PSG Equity Fund Class F 16.42 6.24 17.08 10.47 9.84
PSG SA Equity Class F 1.54 5.00 17.16 8.77 7.23
PSG Wealth Creator Fund of Funds Class D 51.92 5.87 9.89 10.17 11.95
South Africa - Multi Asset - Flexible PSG Flexible Fund Class A 7.86 5.13 15.39 10.16 11.26
PSG Flexible Fund Class E 7.86 5.41 15.70 10.44 10.13
South Africa - Multi Asset - High Equity PSG Balanced Fund Class A 95.59 4.17 13.85 10.20 12.73
PSG Balanced Fund Class E 95.68 4.77 14.50 10.84 9.69
PSG Wealth Moderate Fund of Funds Class D 40.46 7.81 9.61 8.73 10.69
South Africa - Multi Asset - Low Equity PSG Stable Fund Class A 1.62 4.93 9.82 7.48 8.29
PSG Stable Fund Class E 1.63 5.54 10.45 8.09 8.03
PSG Wealth Preserver Fund of Funds Class D 24.53 7.37 8.26 7.41 8.98
South Africa - Multi Asset - Income PSG Diversified Income Fund Class A 1.31 7.91 7.99 7.82 7.84
PSG Diversified Income Fund Class E 1.31 8.59 8.61 8.39 8.28
PSG Wealth Income Fund of Funds Class D 12.44 8.16 7.41 6.96 7.80
South Africa - Interest Bearing - Short Term PSG Income Fund Class A 1.08 8.14 6.76 7.27 7.11
PSG Income Fund Class E 1.08 8.46 7.07 7.59 7.77
PSG Wealth Enhanced Interest Fund of Funds Class D 1.01 9.15 6.75 6.51 6.73
South Africa - Interest Bearing - Money Market PSG Money Market Fund Class A 1.00 7.64 5.88 5.71 7.92
PSG Money Market Fund Class F 1.00 7.92 6.16 5.97 5.23
South African - Multi Asset - Low Equity PSG Investment Management Cautious Fund of Funds  Class D 1.30 6.60 9.51 9.99
South African - Multi Asset - High Equity PSG Investment Management Growth Fund of Funds  Class D 1.50 5.17 11.95 12.03
South African - Multi Asset - Income PSG Investment Management Multi-Asset Income Fund  of Funds Class D 1.13 7.57 7.42 7.67

Performance data on local funds is shown up to the last market close minus 1 day.
Some data may be delayed, the above table reflects the latest information available from Morningstar.
Please note performance reported during the first week of each month may be impacted by distributions. Distributions are fully accounted for by the second week of each month.

Global funds

Through our tried-and tested investment philosophy, we have built competitive global solutions to help clients achieve their investment goals.

The following funds are rand-denominated, but invest internationally:

ASISA categoryFund nameNAV (Rands)
at 03 May 2024
Performance –As at 2024/04/30
1 year %3 year %5 year %Inception %
Global - Equity - General PSG Global Equity Feeder Fund Class A 4.77 10.55 18.24 14.36 13.08
PSG Global Equity Feeder Fund Class E 4.94 11.20 18.93 14.92 12.81
PSG Wealth Global Creator Feeder Fund Class D 4.49 22.27 11.92 15.34 15.26
Global - Multi Asset - Flexible PSG Global Flexible Feeder Fund Class A 3.69 8.63 15.87 13.83 12.87
PSG Global Flexible Feeder Fund Class B 3.87 9.26 16.54 14.33 13.37
PSG Wealth Global Flexible Feeder Fund Class D 4.68 9.50 7.25 10.48 11.15
PSG Wealth Global Moderate Feeder Fund Class D 4.80 10.96 8.96 9.94 12.44
Global - Multi Asset - Low Equity PSG Wealth Global Preserver Feeder Fund Class D 1.51 8.38 8.91 7.95 7.08

Performance data on offshore funds is shown up to the last market close minus 2 days.
Some data may be delayed, the above table reflects the latest information available from Morningstar.
Please note performance reported during the first week of each month may be impacted by distributions. Distributions are fully accounted for by the second week of each month.

Invest in other currencies

The following funds invest internationally using foreign currency

ASISA categoryFund nameNAV (Rands)
at 02 May 2024
Performance –As at 2024/04/30
1 year %3 year %5 year %Inception %
EAA Fund GBP Cautious Allocation PSG Wealth Global Preserver FoF (GBP) Class D 2.06 6.10 1.87 2.29 4.96
EAA Fund GBP Flexible Allocation PSG Wealth Global Flexible FoF (GBP) Class D 3.70 5.64 1.53 5.43 9.20
EAA Fund Global Flex-Cap Equity PSG Global Equity Sub-Fund Class A 2.20 4.10 7.90 8.19 5.84
PSG Global Equity Sub-Fund Class B 2.27 4.69 8.51 8.81 7.01
EAA Fund Global Large-Cap Blend Equity PSG Wealth Global Creator Fund of Funds Class D 2.81 15.91 1.87 8.85 9.43
EAA Fund USD Cautious Allocation PSG Wealth Global Preserver FoF (USD) Class D 1.66 5.37 -0.57 1.85 3.43
EAA Fund USD Flexible Allocation PSG Global Flexible Sub-Fund Class A 19.03 2.82 6.11 7.62 5.78
PSG Global Flexible Sub-Fund Class B 20.16 3.30 6.60 8.20 6.40
PSG Investment Management Global Flexible Fund of Funds (Dollar) 1.55 4.36 -3.28 2.51 2.52
PSG Wealth Global Flexible FoF (USD) Class D 3.00 5.36 -1.90 4.41 7.65
EAA Fund USD Moderate Allocation PSG Wealth Global Moderate Fund of Funds Class D 1.98 7.06 -0.51 3.86 5.01

Performance data on offshore funds is shown up to the last market close minus 2 days.
Some data may be delayed, the above table reflects the latest information available from Morningstar.
Please note performance reported during the first week of each month may be impacted by distributions. Distributions are fully accounted for by the second week of each month.

Non-Collective investment schemes

House view equity portfolios

Fund display name Performance –As at 2024/05/03
1 year %3 year %5 year %Inception %
PSG Wealth Income Growth Equity Portfolio 4.33 5.54 -0.46 1.56
PSG Wealth Offshore Equity Portfolio (USD) 11.01 3.78 9.80 11.43
PSG Wealth SA Equity Portfolio -2.41 2.36 0.51 3.07
PSG Wealth SA Property Equity Portfolio 14.03 7.62 -2.14 -2.88

* PSG Wealth equity portfolio performance are shown gross of management fees, but net of brokerage and other trading costs.
The House view portfolios are bespoke solution portfolios and not part of the Collective Investment Schemes’ portfolios.

Recent investment ideas

Nedbank

On 5 March 2024, Nedbank released its full-year 2023 results. Highlights from the results were as follows: · Headline earnings were up by 11%, with revenue (+12%) rising more than operating costs (+8%).

· Net interest income increased by 14%, with the interest margin rising from 3.93% to 4.21%, benefitting from the endowment rate impact.

· Average interest-earning banking assets grew by 7% from R922 billion to R986 billion.

· Non-interest revenue increased by 6% to R27.7 billion, boosted by fair value adjustments and exchange rate fluctuations on US$ assets in Zimbabwe.

· Expenses increased by 8% to R38.1 billion, with staff costs being the main driver due to salaries and wages increasing by 9%. Headcount decreased by 2%.

Our research supports a buy recommendation.

Please join us on Thursday at 11h30 for our Microsoft Teams Q&A sessions. Click here to join. <https://www.psg.co.za/wealthonline#investment-research>

Aspen

On 4 March 2024, Aspen released its half-year financial results for the six months ended 31 December 2023. · Total sales increased by 10.40% to R21.1bn, but up only 2% when adjusted for currency.

· EPS (cents) increased by 1.20% from 680 (cents in Dec 2022) to 688 (cents) in Dec 2023.

· EBITDA margins decreased from 26.50% to 24.60% as the company unwinds an inventory backlog of Heparin.

· The acquisition of a portfolio of drugs from Viatris, management of the Chinese volume-based procurement and filling of the vacant sterile contracts will lift growth going forward.

Our research supports a hold recommendation.

Please join us on Thursday at 11h30 for our Microsoft Teams Q&A sessions. Click here to join. <https://www.psg.co.za/wealthonline#investment-research>

Impala Platinum

n this report, we discuss the latest results released by Implala Platinum and provide our view on platinum group metals.

We include an updated valuation for Impala and stress test various assumptions to show valuation asymmetry that is skewed upwards. Impala Platinum released its interim results for the six months ended 31 December 2031 in early March 2024. The results, which contained the maiden interim inclusion of Impala Bafokeng, were characterised by the following:

  • Refined production increased by 19% to 1.75moz.
  • Revenue decreased by 25% driven by a materially lower PGM basket price.
  • Earnings per share decreased by 89% to R1.80. o Rand weakened by 8% to R18.75 against the dollar.
  • Implats has net cash of R5.2 billion (after the RBPlat acquisition).
  • Implats had 16 fatalities during 1H24.

Our research supports a hold recommendation.

Please join us on Thursday at 11h30 for our Microsoft Teams Q&A sessions. Click here to join. <https://www.psg.co.za/wealthonline#investment-research>

Economic Calendar

View the Economic Calendar

Corporate Actions

Date Company Share code Expectation
24 April 2024 aREIT Property LimitedAPO

Cash Dividend

24 April 2024 Barloworld Limited 6 percent Cumulative Preference BAWP

Cash Dividend

24 April 2024 Ibex Investment Holdings Limited Preference SharesIBX

Cash Dividend

24 April 2024 Investec Bank (Mauritius) IMRP5

Cash Dividend

24 April 2024 Shafterbury Capital PlcSHC

Cash Dividend

24 April 2024 Anchor Group Pty LtdUAUG

Tender Offer

24 April 2024 Wilson Bayly Holmes Ovcon LimitedWBO

Cash Dividend

The information above is to the best of our knowledge correct.
The Corporate Actions are updated weekly.

Fund performance

Collective Investment Schemes in Securities (CIS) are generally medium-term to long-term investments. The value of participatory interests (units) may go down as well as up and past performance is not a guide to future performance. Collective Investment Schemes are traded at ruling prices and can engage in borrowing and scrip lending. A schedule of fees and charges and maximum commissions is available on request from PSG Collective Investments (RF) Limited. Commission and incentives may be paid, and if so, are included in the overall costs. Forward pricing is used. The Portfolios may be capped at any time in order for them to be managed in accordance with their mandate.

Performance is calculated for the portfolio and individual investor performance may differ as a result thereof. Different classes of participatory interest can apply to these portfolios and are subject to different fees, charges and possibly dividend withholding tax and will thus have differing performances. Annualised performances show longer term performance rescaled over a 12-month period. Individual performance may differ as a result of initial fees, the actual investment date, the date of reinvestment and dividend withholding tax. The portfolio is valued at 15h00 daily. Income distributions are net of any applicable taxes. Investment performance data is for illustrative purposes only. Actual performance figures are available on request. Always refer to the fund fact sheet (Minimum Disclosure Document) for full details, fees and risks of the fund.

PSG Financial Services +27 (21) 918 7800

Stay Informed

Sign up for our newsletters and receive information on finance.

©2024 PSG Financial Services Limited. All rights reserved. Affiliates of PSG Financial Services, a licensed controlling company, are authorised financial services providers.